Piper Sandler has modelled how markets might react to an all-stock Tesla–SpaceX merger. Investing.com summarised the client note on Nov. 2.

Key points from the note

  • Analyst Alexander Potter now calls a merger proposal «likelier than not».
  • In most scenarios, Musk would have more than 70% voting control of the combined company.
  • A 30% premium wouldn't translate into 30% upside. In many of Piper's scenarios, the shares reprice by less than 15% either way.
  • Piper rates Tesla Overweight and SpaceX Neutral.

Background

Client interest grew after Musk confirmed on Oct. 20 that both companies had formed special committees. Neither company has announced a deal, a structure or an exchange ratio.

This summarises an analyst note and is not investment advice.